In the upcoming European elections, the North-West constituency has five seats available. Below are the candidates, along with their betting odds and some information about each of them:
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First prices 26th April
Updated prices 6th May
1. **Luke ‘Ming’ Flanagan (Independent)** – was 1/14 now 4/11
Luke ‘Ming’ Flanagan is a well-known independent MEP known for his activism on civil liberties and agricultural issues. He has been serving as an MEP since 2014 and is a strong favorite to retain his seat, with odds of 1/14.
2. **Chris McManus (Sinn Féin)** – Still 4/9
Chris McManus is a Sinn Féin MEP and a current member of the European Parliament. He focuses on issues such as regional development and social justice. His odds are quite favorable, suggesting he is likely to secure a seat.
3. **Michelle Gildernew (Sinn Féin)** – Still 8/15
Michelle Gildernew is another Sinn Féin candidate with strong odds of 8/15. She has experience in Northern Irish politics and has been an advocate for agricultural and rural issues. She is well-positioned to win a seat.
4. **Barry Cowen (Fianna Fáil)** – Still 4/7
Barry Cowen is a Fianna Fáil TD and the brother of former Taoiseach Brian Cowen. He is known for his focus on economic issues and regional development. His odds suggest he has a good chance of winning a seat.
5. **Nina Carberry (Fine Gael)** – was 4/7 now 2/5
Nina Carberry is a Fine Gael candidate and a retired champion jockey. Her odds of 4/7 indicate she is likely to win a seat, but she may face a competitive race.
Here’s 25 questions with me on why I want to be your next MEP.
— Nina Carberry (@ninacarberry) April 16, 2024
6. **Peadar Tóibín (Aontú)** – Still 8/11
Peadar Tóibín is the leader of Aontú, a political party focused on social and economic issues from a nationalist perspective. His odds suggest he is in a good position to secure a seat.
7. **Ciaran Mullooly (Independent Ireland)** – Still 8/11
Ciaran Mullooly is an independent candidate representing Independent Ireland. He has a background in media and broadcasting and his odds suggest he has a chance of winning a seat.
8. **John Waters (Independent)** – was 2/1 now 6/1
John Waters is an independent candidate with odds of 2/1. He is known for his work as a journalist and author and is running on a conservative platform. His odds suggest he may have a competitive race.
9. **Maria Walsh (Fine Gael)** – Still 4/1
Maria Walsh is a Fine Gael MEP currently serving in the European Parliament. She focuses on social issues such as equality and human rights. Her odds of 4/1 indicate she may face a challenging race.
10. **Lisa Chambers (Fianna Fáil)** – was 5/1 now 4/1
Lisa Chambers is a Fianna Fáil politician who has served as a TD. She focuses on issues such as housing and health. Her odds suggest she may face an uphill battle to win a seat.
11. **Herman Kelly (Irish Freedom Party)** – was 13/2 now 5/1
Herman Kelly is a candidate representing the Irish Freedom Party, which focuses on nationalism and sovereignty issues. His odds are longer, indicating he may face challenges in securing a seat.
12. **Rory Hearne (Social Democrats)** – was 7/1 now 10/1
Rory Hearne is a Social Democrats candidate and an academic known for his work on housing and economic issues. His odds are longer, indicating he may struggle to win a seat.
13. **Niall Blaney (Fianna Fáil)** – was 12/1 now 6/1
Niall Blaney is a Fianna Fáil politician with experience in national and local politics. His odds suggest he may face a difficult race.
14. **Pauline O’Reilly (Green Party)** – Still 16/1
Pauline O’Reilly is a candidate from the Green Party and has been active in environmental and social issues. Her odds suggest she faces an uphill battle to win a seat.
15. **James Reynolds (National Party)** – was 22/1 now 50/1
James Reynolds is a candidate from the National Party, which has a right-wing nationalist platform. His long odds indicate he is not expected to win a seat.
16. **Brian O’Boyle (PBP – Solidarity)** – Still 100/1
Brian O’Boyle is a candidate from the People Before Profit–Solidarity group. His long odds suggest he is highly unlikely to win a seat.
Peter Casey has joined the race is 4/1
Overall, the betting odds suggest that Luke ‘Ming’ Flanagan, Chris McManus, Michelle Gildernew, Barry Cowen, and Nina Carberry are the most likely candidates to secure the available seats in the North-West constituency. But expect Ciaran Mullooly to out perform his current odds.